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EXPER A1B DRIVER

Pre-industrial control experiment PIcntrl The pre-industrial control experiment PIcntrl simulates climate changes using fixed forcing agents at levels from the year e. This paper present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate an aggressive mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an Integrated Assessment Model. It is used as reference for the following historical and scenario experiments, and also provides the initial conditions for the historical experiment. Atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations pathways rather than carbon emissions are specified in all models, including five ESMs that contain interactive carbon cycles. Salas y Melia, M. The forcing agents are the historical record of or estimated greenhouse gases, tropospheric sulfate aerosol, volcanoes and solar forcing.

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Our study illustrates that the benefits of mitigation will not be realised in temperature terms until several decades after emissions reductions begin, and may vary considerably between regions.

Salas y Melia, M. Each member is ezper for years from to Atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations pathways rather than carbon emissions are specified in all models, including five ESMs that contain interactive carbon cycles.

This experiment produced continuous high-resolution simulation data for the North Pacific, enabling assessment of future climate changes in ocean areas while eliminating short-term natural climate variations through time-series analysis of NPOGCM results.

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The initial condition of each simulation member is taken from the respective state in the year in 20C3M. For Global Warming Projection Vol. ezper

JMA | Global Warming Projection Vol.7

The forcing agents are the historical record of or estimated greenhouse gases, tropospheric sulfate aerosol, expfr and solar forcing. For further details of the experiments using the CGCM2.

Home Global Warming Projection. The historical experiment 20C3M simulates climate changes in the 20th century. The initial condition of each simulation member is taken from the different states of the PIcntrl fields at simulation years of 1, 51,and The spread in global temperature and precipitation responses is partly attributable to inter-model variations in aerosol loading and representations of aerosol-related radiative forcing effects.

It is used as reference for the following historical and scenario experiments, and also provides the initial conditions for the historical experiment. Specified expe also include minor greenhouse gas concentration pathways, ozone concentration, aerosols via concentrations or precursor emissions and land use change in five models.

Met Office Hadley Centre Model Data Holdings

Two kinds of experiment were conducted: This paper present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate an expet mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an Integrated Assessment Model.

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Climate change under aggressive mitigation: Each experiment consists of five-member ensembles of simulation. Pre-industrial control experiment PIcntrl The pre-industrial control experiment PIcntrl simulates climate changes using fixed forcing agents at levels from the year e.

The pre-industrial control experiment PIcntrl simulates climate changes using fixed forcing agents at levels from the year e.

Resulting twenty-first century global mean warming and precipitation changes for A1B are broadly consistent with previous studies.

Summary of future projection. Each member is integrated, including the year period from to In E1 twenty-first century ecper warming remains below 2K in most models, but global mean precipitation changes are higher than in A1B up to and consistently higher per degree of warming.

Negative allowable anthropogenic carbon emissions at and beyond cannot be ruled out for the E1 scenario.